Ranking every AFL after-the-siren winning goal since 2000. Beat St Kilda to keep slim finals hopes alive? The absence of Josh Bruce hurts, since their inside-50 plays seemed to be either bombing it to Aaron Naughton or just crossing their fingers and hoping for the best. Stay on current site or go to US version. Groundhog Day: Why should we care about the Suns? They look almost certain to match their best ever win-loss record, and with their best ever percentage. North Melbourne . 2021 record: 9-10 Its utterly ridiculous that the Power have a better percentage than Collingwood, a team that has won six more games than them. Next game: North Melbourne at Marvel Stadium, Saturday afternoon. AFL Debate Club: Is the umpire dissent rule worth keeping? Good. Broadly, this tells me its much easier to be an outstanding offensive team than it is to be an outstanding defensive team and that being brilliant at scoring is possibly a better predictor of success than defence (note, I say possibly). Aaand back to the bottom for the Roos after the Hawks shocked the Lions to jump into 17th spot. The chart below shows the cumulative Z-score of each of the 16 teams which played in all ten seasons of the study period. (2:35). AFL: Behind St Kilda's steamrolling start, the worrying tale of two Lions teams. Check out the post-Round 22 Power Rankings. 2002 Premiers 2ND 136.7 I quite liked the game. Note: Throughout the year, ESPN will rank all 18 teams, from top to bottom, taking into account which teams are playing the best footy, injuries, . GWS Next game: Richmond at Metricon Stadium, Thursday night. It guarantees another year of growing their win total. 2021 record: 6-13 Otherwise theyre just the best of the rest. Listen below or subscribe in Apple Podcasts or Spotify. This week's opponent: Brisbane (Marvel Stadium), 12. The Eagles were horrendous, but let's not take anything away from the effort of some of the younger Magpies in particular. This is our attempt to rank every AFL club from best to worst. Either Blues fans will be going nuts in the crowd having seen the score from Tasmania or theyll be terrified. The Eagles would need to lose by at least 100 points to have any chance of dropping below North Melbourne on percentage and earning Pick 1. Perhaps some time at the drawing board this offseason will get them back into roaring contention next year. Year Result Ladder Home and away (percentage) It certainly didnt feel like a five-goal loss against Sydney but in reality, with a couple of injury blows, the Magpies were nowhere near having the scoring power to win that game. Look, its the finals, youre gonna get tough opposition no matter what, and this is the ultimate complaining-about-success thing but we know what wed prefer. And its hard to argue theyll be enormous threats in an elimination final, which likely would be at Optus Stadium against the Dockers, or against a current top-four team. Richmond . It's little wonder the Cats are teetering around the middle of the pack - they're perfectly balanced, as all things should be. We take wins and losses into account, but also the quality of opposition faced and whether teams are likely to get healthier or improve going forward. And even if they do earn a home elimination final, can you really see this Eagles side winning three interstate finals in a row? Plus kicking goals was far too easy. They're zero-from-two this season, with losses to North Melbourne and now Melbourne, but are still hanging onto a spot in the finals by a solitary win (their percentage is lower than that of both Essendon and Richmond who are one win behind). Although association football is again the favorite throughout most of Central and South America, the citizens of Panama, Nicaragua, and Venezuela prefer baseball. There were shades of the 'Kyle Reimers' game about the Suns' loss to the Dogs there for a while. Have the Tigers over-achieved? How are they still in the finals race?! Who knows - the injuries to Nat Fyfe and Michael Walters harm their chances of finishing strongly enough to make finals, but they play the second of three straight games in Perth (with this week's game against a disappointing Brisbane). Gold Coast Suns Theyve already played the Dogs pretty well for a few years and if that midfield gets on top of the Dogs well-regarded group, then were looking at a legitimate finals contender at Princes Park. They get the Tigers at a fascinating time and if they can get on top in the middle, theres no reason why the Giants cant do exactly as Carlton did last Thursday night. 1973 Premiers 2nd 117.6per cent Thanks for watching! The rivalry matches continue, however, with the undefeated Bulldogs visiting the nation's capital, and we know it's hard for teams to 'get up' for consecutive rivalry games what did Mick Malthouse call it? Scott and his coaching staff are clearly managing this team with September in mind; they just need to make sure they dont stumble in any of their trademark were going to play slow, conservative footy against a bottom ten side and the commentators are going to ask why were going so slowly all night games. Next game: Western Bulldogs at Marvel Stadium, Thursday night. AFL Debate Club: What is Gillon McLachlan's defining achievement as AFL CEO? 2021 record: 0-5 The good news is last week showed the Blues are good enough to play finals; as weve suspected for a little while, their best is good enough to challenge most of the top eight. 2021 record: 9-11 Previous ranking: 4. Good but incredibly inconsistent teams at will just miss finals . Previous ranking: 2. Matt Rowell and Izak Rankine both looked like theyve taken a step forward. The Kangaroos had this weird problem on Sunday where they were both too tall (with three rucks) and not tall enough (unable to stop Mitch Lewis once Ben McKay went down). The Suns did lose to North Melbourne, but wed tip them to win if the game wasnt played in Tasmania; we can totally understand if you think the Kangaroos should be 17th and Gold Coast 18th. Furthermore, over the very long run Ive looked at every match score between 1980 and 2013 AFL match scores are normally distributed. Green Bay Packers: 802 Points (16 points gained) 2. Another 100+ point performance that ends in defeat - what more can this side do?! How quickly things turn; we had the Lions fourth last week off the back of two disappointing games (the loss to Melbourne and pedestrian win over North), but then they get back to the Gabba and suddenly theyre world-beaters again. It probably shouldnt have been that much of a shock to have Geelong playing well in a home and away game - thats kinda their whole deal? The most annoying part for Dees fans is they can't really even celebrate the percentage boost given they're a half game ahead of the team below them, and half a game below those above them! Many fans had turned to it. To us, all of that is the most interesting part of Sundays game. This week's opponent: North Melbourne (Marvel Stadium), 6. This week's opponent: Carlton (Marvel Stadium). 2021 record: 10-10 Is there a team in the AFL with a bigger gap between their best and worst footy? SYDNEY SWANS (1-0, 121.7%) Last week's ranking: 6 First off - how good was that game?! Whoever your favourite AFL team is, you can start betting on them as soon as you create an account. Tasmania can be AFL 'destination club': McLachlan, Tassie AFL team a step closer with PM's $240m, Victory goalkeeper Dumont joins AFLW team, Dogs out to celebrate Bontempelli's milestone, Martin, Tigers not far off best says Hardwick, Fagan, Clarkson bullish on Tasmanian AFL team. Well, given theyve only played them there once in this writers lifetime, theres not a lot of form to go on Next game: Geelong Cats at GMHBA Stadium, Friday night. The Kangaroos arent going to beat the Bulldogs, but lets see just how much better they are compared to that 128-point Good Friday loss that was one of the worst performances from any team in years. West Coast The Hawks have a surprisingly big role on a dramatic last day of the season, able to play party poopers and ruin the Bulldogs hopes of knocking Carlton out of the eight. Lose to Gold Coast at home? This week's opponent: Carlton (Marvel Stadium). Next game: West Coast Eagles at GMHBA Stadium, Saturday twilight. Brisbane Its not uncommon for the Tigers to allow Carlton to come home strong in their traditional Round 1 meeting; it just usually means they win by five goals after being 10 goals up, or whatever. Try 14-Days Free Now >. Already coming into the season under pressure, the Saints heaped more on themselves with their loss to Collingwood. The Dees go top after holding off a lightning quick comeback from the Eagles (see what we did there?! 1975 Runner-Up MP 137.3per cent, Carlton This week is the real test. Oh and good grief are they EVER going to kick straight? Who would you prefer to see win the Grand Final? Just tell us who you are to view your results ! After two years of relative good fortune, the Power copped a bunch of bad luck all at once on Saturday night, losing a close game in the home and away season for the first time since 2019 while losing several key players to injuries. Next game: Brisbane Lions at the Gabba, Friday night. Multiple premierships! The Cats have a bit of a problem; the finals bracket works against the minor premier, after the first week anyway. Three wins in a row - even if the last two were kinda-close games against the bottom two - see the Crows moving up past their bottom six rivals whove battled in recent weeks. Chock full of talent, Luke Beveridge's side also has quality to come back (hello, Adam Treloar) in the next month or so leading into finals. Previous rankings: Round 1 | Round 2 | Round 3 | Round 4 | Round 5, 1. Next game: Carlton at the MCG, Sunday afternoon. The Cats can certainly still win the flag. 1969 Runner-Up 4TH 124.6per cent At the end of the day, the Bulldogs remain second in the rankings and on the ladder, but we're interested to see how the forward structure changes with Josh Bruce out for the remaining weeks. Year Result Ladder Home and away (percentage) Head to ESPN's Home of AFL Can they remain consistent throughout September? Remarkably the Dockers were the only team ranked between fifth and 11th on the ladder that actually won on the weekend; and to hold off Collingwood, on the road and without Nat Fyfe and Matt Taberner (for a half) is a big tick for this sides growth. These are the best AFL betting sites in Australia that you can join today. 4. Anyone can contribute to The Roar and have their work 4. Previous ranking: 1. 1972 Premiers MP 134.3per cent Average. Have the Lions fallen out of flag contention? So while the Cats are likely to get Collingwood or Fremantle in their qualifying final - and theyll be favoured - if they win, theyre likely to get one of Sydney, Melbourne, Brisbane or Richmond as a prelim opponent. Otherwise this team is exactly what the ladder says it is - average. Previous ranking: 8. The Lions were back home in Queensland after a few weeks on the road due to COVID, and we think that might just have settled some things for this talented team. 2021 record: 4-1 Just out of interest, Ive pulled the particular occurrences where a team has been exceptional in a particular season with exceptional defined as being better than 95 per cent of all performances over the period. A big three sits atop the flag race but the ladder is so tight, theyre not the only ones who can win it. Theyve only won two games in a row once this year, against lowly Hawthorn and Gold Coast, so if they can beat Collingwood this weekend well give them some more respect. 3 Hawthorn Very strong percentage home and away seasons year after year tells the story. 1988 Premiers MP 142.3per cent 1969 Premiers 4th 124.6per cent GWS . 1982 Premiers 3RD 127.5. Previous ranking: 16. 1983 Premiers 2ND 128.7per cent 2021 record: 15-4-1 We dont want to get too down on the Dogs; they certainly werent blown away by Melbourne, with their midfield clearly winning the clearance battle. Hawthorn looked like a top eight side against the Pies at times, and Champion Data has backed that claim in this week's podcast on 'the teams showing premiership traits'! Previous ranking: 16. Richmond need to win well these next two weeks if they're to scrape into finals, but even then they'll be relying on other results to fall their way.
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