15 Days to Slow the Spread The White House - Archives The epidemic curve, a statistical chart used to visualize when and at what speed new cases are reported, could be flattened, rather than being allowed to rise exponentially. ), I think that in terms of the decision-makers, we are in a place right now where we dont have the data we wish we had in order to inform these decisions, Rivers said. Anthony Fauci, director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, said on Friday that social distancing would likely have to continue for "several weeks. Instead, he lied and lost the trust of half the country. The purpose and intent of this is anchoring higher light and activating the Ascension Timeline on Earth now. The story behind the coronavirus 'flatten the curve' chart - Fast Freedom, true freedom, is inalienable. NOW WATCH: Can the US actually implement a nationwide lockdown? Many over 50 years in i.e. Without that kind of data, public officials have been loath to take the types of measures that would help to flatten the countrys epidemic curve. The preferred political solution lies in both continuing to encourage social distancing and in prohibiting larger gatherings. Follow her on Mastodon and Post News. Search interest in the term plateaued at the end of May 2020 and then basically stopped after that August. Needless to say, such a situation is unlikely to happen any time thats soon enough to save Hawaii from an economic implosion. The redder the background, the bigger the upward trend of new cases in this state. Even if you are young and otherwise healthy, you are at riskand your activities can increase the risk of contracting the Coronavirus for others. State and local officials quickly ordered citizens to stay at home, and we were assured this was a short-term, temporary situation to ensure capacity in our hospitals.The president even reassured the public that these wouldn't be long-term mandates saying, "We cannot let the cure be worse than the problem itself. A version of the chart and the phrase flatten the curve first appeared in a 2007 report by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention about ways to control the contact-us@uc.wisc.edu, 2023 Board of Regents of the University of Wisconsin System, DOWNLOAD IMAGE: https://uwmadison.box.com/v/flatten-curve, CDC / The Economist / Drew Harris / Nan Li, a 2007 report by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, The Economist printed a modified version of the chart, Drew Harris adapted The Economists chart to share on Twitter, Survey: Many still find it hard to stay home during pandemic, worry about mental health during isolation, Public Health Madison & Dane County releases new orders requiring face coverings, UW experts design masks for campus from scratch, https://uwmadison.box.com/v/flatten-curve. state and local government budgets cratered. Should we not be shaking hands? President Trump declared a National Emergency in response to the Coronavirus on Friday, freeing up more than $42 Trump's 15-day plan to slow the coronavirus' spread is too short, experts say. "Truly, for many of us in public health, this was a red flag an indication that the administration had an unrealistic view of pandemic control measures and was not aware of the reality a pandemic cannot be solved in 15 days and any strategy needs to include a serious amount of work resource, and personnel," she added. The measures did contain the spread of influenza but were abandoned within 18 days, once it became clear that the H1N1 influenza virus, albeit widespread in Subscribe nowto get breaking news from President Trump before anyone else. Mina agreed: Without a very clear signal coming from our government at the national level, its really just like a small trickle as people start to recognize that this is happening.. We will not be able to return to normalcy until we find a vaccine or effective medications. Because the moment were no longer wondering whether we should be doing it, its too late, Mina said. The initiative should not have been tied to a timeline, she said, but instead to a specific task like reducing daily new infections to a certain level. I Will Not Be Silenced! Enter your email to receive notifications of new posts. Just last week, President Biden stated: If we do our part, by July 4th, theres a good chance you, your families and friends will be able to get together in your backyard and celebrate Independence Day Small groups will be able to get together.This is supposed to be encouraging to the American public? Surgeon General (March 2020) On March 16, 2020, one year ago today, President Donald Trump announced a fifteen-day effort to "slow the spread" of COVID-19. State and local officials quickly Thenewnarrative was this: the death toll will simply be too gruesome and unbearable to allow people to continue on with some semblance of an ordinary life. After all, as unemployment numbers skyrocketed andstate and local government budgets cratered, lockdown until vaccine didnt seem like such a viable strategy anymore. PCR testing and some straightforward assumptions indicate that, as of April 29, 2020, more than half a million people in Stockholm county, Sweden, which is about 2025% of the population, have been infected (Hansson D, Swedish Public Health Agency, personal communication). When healthcare workers get infected, that leaves fewer people to treat existing patients. This switcheroo on the reason for the lockdowns was a great victory for the World Health Organization (WHO) and advocates for widespread state controls on the economy and daily life. 2022 NewsWars BR There is very little we can do to prevent this spread: a lockdown might delay severe cases for a while, but once restrictions are eased, cases will reappear. In the early days of the COVID-19 panicback in mid-Marcharticles began to appear pushing the idea of flattening the curve (theWashington Postran an article called Flatten the Curve on March 14). We installed plexiglass between ourselves and anyone else we met. Businesses and occupations were divided into essential and non-essential, with the non-essentials closing their doors many for good. While 74% of adults said they were aware of the chart, this awareness did not correlate with their intention to engage in social distancing or their belief in whether interventions could control the pandemic. This is the type of rhetoric that always lead to a two-tiered society in which the dehumanized sect suffers immensely under the authoritarians. We are now nearly two years, 2 presidents, 6 trillion dollars, and countless stolen rights into slowing the spread. If tough containment worked for China and South Korea, then so should it also for the rest of the world. Li and UWMadison doctoral student Amanda Molder published their findings Aug. 27 in the journal Public Understanding of Science. Its time to talk about flattening the curve again This messaging was used at the state level as well. Flatten the curve remains a popular goal among policymakers, but now were back to the old definition: fear remains that hospitals and healthcare personnel will be overwhelmed. DeSantis critical of China, hazy on Ukraine as he charts foreign policy path. If 9 percent of people 60 and older needed to be hospitalized, having only 10,000 people in that age range get infected, vs. 1 million, meant 89,000 fewer people in the hospital. 10 out of 17 million people have to be infected. The New York Times of all places, acknowledged this phenomenon in a recent piece titled 'Covid Absolutism.' Suck it up, do your share, so that therell be a lot more life to live yet after this period. Population health educator Drew Harris adapted The Economists chart to share on Twitter. But the quarantines, unprecedented in modern times, appear to have prevented explosive outbreaks from occurring in cities outside of Hubei province, where Wuhan is located. A year later, Trumps 15 days to slow the spread - CNBC However, the magazine removed the CDCs message that preventative measures could also reduce the total number of infections, instead focusing on not overwhelming hospital capacity. That means that we know we should be doing it. Vaccines do something similar, allowing potentially low-risk people to get a shot to reduce the likelihood that theyll get infected and spread it to others. Countries across Europe, with the highest vaccination rates in the world, are now going into yet another round of lockdowns as cases hit record numbers. This will be the detriment of many already dead and countless more that will die from this virus (particularly in a contintent like Africa). We experienced two mini-peaks - one in the Spring and one in the Summer - rather than one massive peak in the Spring. This is not the flu. Data is a real-time snapshot *Data is delayed at least 15 minutes. 2023 CNBC LLC. Now, with 2020 coming to an end and the US reporting, on average, 180,000 new cases and more than 2,000 new deaths every day, there is no more hope for For some, the only control they are able to find during these uncertain times is through clinging to a false sense of safety and trusting the guidance of established authorities as gospel. We were wrong about Purell. All rights reserved. That was the argument: Stay healthy, keep the hospitals from being overloaded. What is flattening the curve, and how does it relate to the Despite the snark now, if the goal of American health authorities in March 2020 was to flatten the curve, then they were successful. I know thats dreadful news to hear. Vaccines were, in a way, the inheritor of the sentiment behind flatten the curve. The idea there was that people could take steps (staying at home more, social distancing) that would help the community broadly (by not overwhelming hospitals). If a Wuhan-like outbreak were to take place in a U.S. city, even with strong social distancing and contact tracing protocols as strict as the Wuhan lockdown, hospitalization and ICU needs from COVID-19 patients alone may exceed current capacity, they wrote. Be concerned about omicron, but dont be alarmed. VP Pence: No higher priority than the health of the American people. More than 70% of respondents said they were very likely to engage in social distancing, while about 40% thought that the pandemic could be brought under control with these interventions. Trudeau blames unvaccinated for everything pic.twitter.com/vhw9QqvsmL, Roberto Wakerell-Cruz (@Robertopedia) January 5, 2022. But public-health experts say these measures will be necessary for more than 15 days at minimum, they're needed for several more weeks. As TFTP hasreported, we predicted this. Subscribe now to get breaking news from President Trump before anyone else. This afternoon, President Trump and the White House Coronavirus Task Force issued new guidelines to help protect Americans during the global Coronavirus outbreak. If youre vaccinated and boosted, you are highly protected. And South Korea, which has had the third largest outbreak outside of China, also appears to be beating back transmission through aggressive actions. Policy decisions can, and should, be based on more than safety alone. Li says that the timing of the survey during a summer surge in cases and the ubiquity of both the flatten the curve message and social distancing measures make it difficult to determine the true effect of the infographic. So parents are supposed to keep their kids away from the other 85.3% of 5 to 11-year olds??? Predictably, they have ramped up the scapegoating of the unvaccinated. No higher priority than the health of the American people, Listen to and follow the directions of your. by | Jun 14, 2021 | General | 0 comments. And that is a bad place to be.. Amplified by The Economist and on Twitter during the spring of 2020, the message took off. If intense lockdown protocols were an effective way to mitigate against infection and death rates, the data would show states such as California and New York with much better outcomes than Texas and Florida. Youll experience severe illness in many cases.. Has the Philippines really flattened the curve But an individuals awareness of the flatten-the-curve graphic did not predict their willingness to engage in social distancing or their belief in societys ability to control the course of the pandemic. While a vaccine and treatments are developed, strong actions must be taken. This story first appeared in 1600 Daily, the White Houses evening newsletter. I ts been quite a year since experts told us that they needed only 15 days to flatten the economy, er, I mean flatten the curve. That was the idea of flattening the curve , reducing exposure to the virus to limit the number of people who fell ill and, by extension, who needed to be Americans should continue practicing strict personal hygiene, including washing hands regularly for at least 20 seconds at a time and wiping down surfaces in the home often. Former President Trump announced his "15 days to slow the spread" campaign one year ago, which urged Americans to stay home to combat the coronavirus pandemic. Of course flattening the curve will slow the coronavirus. The guidelines ask Americans to practice social distancing to stay home, avoid social gatherings and nonessential trips to stores, and stay 6 feet away from others. Everyone will be exposed to severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus, and most people will become infected. He added a dotted line representing the capacity of the health care system, further emphasizing this capacity-based goal. '", "virus does not spread easily from contaminated surfaces. Statement From Roger Stone In Response To The January 6th Committee. We also want to express great appreciation to the American people. They definitely don't want grandma to die. White House chief medical officer Dr. Anthony Faucitold congressional lawmakers on March 12, 2020 just days before Trump's 15-day guidance that the U.S. wasn't able to test as many people for the disease as other countries, calling it "a failing.". It is time Americans and the rest of the world realize that freedom is not some commodity to be traded in exchange for our obedience. "There should've been earlier shutdowns," Barbot said. Biden then went on to encourage children to stay away from the unvaccinated, further stoking hatred, fear, and divide. OMG, theres thick black smoke rolling out of the eaves of the house, but theres no visible fire! It suggested late Tuesday afternoon that there had been 808 cases in the U.S. and 28 deaths. Meeting outside, opening windows and wearing face coverings did far more. "There were two key elements in our scientific knowledge that we didn't fully understand. Contact Us, Watch: Angry Parents Slam School Board for Sexually Grooming Students with Family Friendly Drag Shows, Reporter Trolls School Board By Dressing Like Trans Teacher With Colossal Prosthetic Breasts, Breaking! "Comfort and physical safety are boons to humanity, but they bring some costs, too. communications, covid-19, health, Feedback or questions? Hospitals in the north of the country, which the virus first took root, are filled beyond capacity, he said, and may soon face the nightmarish dilemma of having to decide who to try to save. The idea was to limit the daily rise of those in need of treatment to within the healthcare capacity. The survey also asked respondents to rate the effectiveness of social distancing measures, how controllable they thought the pandemic was, and their trust in the CDC and other scientists. To 'Flatten The Curve Not surprisingly, it is inspiring to see the way tens of millions of Americans are responding with compassion [and] with common sense., Kay Coles James: President Trumps declaration helps mobilize our nation, ? Much of this spike can be attributed to increased testing capacity at private and state laboratories. Despite the economically devastating draconian lockdowns that killedcountless small businesses, vaccine passports, and mask mandates, COVID-19 returned with a vengeance. Although we didnt see a difference in peoples ideas or behavioral intentions based on their awareness of the chart, the message is still beneficial because theres some evidence that it allowed people to form a more informed decision without relying on trust.. And in 2020 it is by far not as isolating due to the internet, cell phones, social and other media. pic.twitter.com/wHYFL5r1wj, Matt Agorist (@MattAgorist) December 26, 2021. Now, after their policies have failed, they need someone to blame. To any in doubt about compliance : everyone must take this pandemic event seriously, and each and everyone needs to take responsibility of all the action needed to curb spread. In one of her first public appearances since leaving her role in the White House, Birx said there were doctors "from credible universities who came to the White House with these opposite opinions.". So maybe its time to revive flatten the curve. Maybe emphasizing that the rampant spread of the virus means a strain on hospitals and, crucially, on health-care workers will serve as an incentive for people to take steps such as masking that would prevent their mild infection from spreading to other people. Legitimate disagreement within the scientific community is common, but perhaps never before has the debate played out so publicly or with such high stakes. We hope you found something here that sparked your interest and assists you in your awakening journey. And fewer people in the hospital meant not only fewer people dying from covid-19 but less risk that hospitals would be unable to care for other, non-covid patients. Indeed, two weeks earlier, the Hawaii Department of Education had already abandoned its declaration about the need for no new cases, with the department director backpedaling furiously andstating: We would expect to be living with COVID-19 for a long time, and to have to wait for the last case to have occurred and another 28 days probably is not going to happen, so I believe that was really a placeholder.. Many governors and mayors nonetheless continued to claim that they would not allow any easing of the lockdowns until cases began to decline, or until testing became widespread. In the future, she added, social-distancing recommendations might be less aggressive than they are now but they're unlikely to go away for at least a year. What flattening the curve really means, and why going hard - ABC One public-health expert said social distancing should be enforced until a vaccine is developed in 12 to 18 months. Again, weve seen that increases in coronavirus infections have, in fact, strained intensive care units since the pandemic began. Anthony Fauci had just lied to Congress about his views on COVID-19. So far more than 22,000 Americans have tested "Seriously people STOP BUYING MASKS!" But it increasingly seems that such a scenario is wishful thinking. Trump's 15-Day Coronavirus Response Plan to Flatten Curve Is This increase occurred shortly after However, people who had seen the widespread chart relied less on their trust in scientists when determining how controllable the pandemic was. #coronavirus #disruption #innovation. But other places, notably Italy and Iran, are struggling. On March 16, 2020, the Trump administrationreleased a 15-day planto slow the spread of the coronavirus in the US. Their analysis, posted on a preprint server in advance of peer review, came to a chilling conclusion. President Trump declared a National Emergency in response to the Coronavirus on Friday, freeing up more than $42 billion in resources for states and localities. But that safety never came and it never will. A roundup of STAT's top stories of the day. March 6, 2021 Geoffrey Pike 3 Comments. Its really all borne out of the risk of our health care infrastructure pulling apart at the seams if the virus spreads too quickly and too many people start showing up at the emergency room at any given time.. Its healthcare system has not been overwhelmed, he said, adding that its approach could be a model for other countries when lockdowns begin to relax. The Great Reset Is Now An Audiobook! https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/why-march-15-31-2020-critical-time-contain-covid-19-us-khvatkov/, We went from almost no lockdowns to daily lockdowns: The mental health crisis inside California womens prisons. The new recommendations are simple to follow but will have a resounding impact on public health. The website is no longer updated and links to external websites and some internal pages may not work. Only 14.7% of kids 5 to 11 are vaccinated. Its really all borne out of the risk of our health care infrastructure pulling apart at the seams if the virus spreads too quickly and too many people start showing up at the emergency room at any given time.. These facts have led me to the following conclusions. We ravaged convenience stores for hand sanitizer and Clorox wipes. Dr. Anthony Fauci defended the federal government's first-year Covid policies during an interview Tuesday afternoon on FOX News. Coronavirus, Social and Physical Distancing and Self-Quarantine President Donald Trump embraced Scott Atlas, a neuroradiologist who promoted widespread infection in Fox News interviews. when did 14 days to flatten the curve start. This was yet another report, as TFTPs Don Via Jr. pointed out, that much like the aforementioned, didnotreceive national headlines from the corporate media. "In retrospect, I do think in February there were a significant number of undetected infections taking place, and we were scrambling to try and identify them.". If a hospital is overwhelmed by Covid-19 cases, patients will have a lower chance of surviving than they would if they became ill when the hospitals patient load was more manageable. "We can see that the US trajectory is on par with where China, Italy, and Spain were at a similar stage of the epidemic in their countries," Morrato said. That's because confirmed cases give a clearer picture of how people become infected and for how long. Have we flattened the curve in the US? - Johns Hopkins 14 Days to Flatten the Curve Meme. Theyimpose more restrictions. when did 14 days to flatten the curve start Flattening the curve could take at least several more weeks. The WHO has failed in their lack of guts to make tough decisions, theyve been on the potty squaking about global Angst instead. Some simple math offers alarming answers, U.S. communities are braced for coronavirus outbreaks. And if youre unvaccinated, you have some reasons to be alarmed. (i.e. Wen, who is also anemergencyphysicianand public health professor at George Washington University, noted it wasn't just politicians, but also scientists, who didn't understand how to fight the virus. The virus is spreading, were are told, including widely throughout the vaccinated population, because of the unvaccinated who are now dirty non-citizens., On Tuesday, French President Macron gave an interview to the La Parisien, in which he dehumanized the unvaccinated and urged other citizens to hate them, likening them to their worst enemies., I am not about pissing off the French people, Macron told the readers of Le Parisien. Who knows, maybe it will save a lot of lives.. Aria Bendix President This suggests that the flatten-the-curve message might have armed them with the knowledge they needed to draw their own conclusions about social distancing measures without needing to rely as strongly on trusting experts. After three years of around-the-clock tracking of COVID-19 data from As states throughout the U.S. lift stay-at-home orders, reopen businesses, and relax social distancing measures, this graph shows whether cases of COVID-19 are increasing, decreasing, or remaining constant within each state.
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